UPDATE: THE TERRORISM PERPETRATED AGAINST THE UNITED STATES ON 9/11 CONTINUES TO BE PERPETRATED AGAINST THE MEN, WOMEN, AND CHILDREN OF SOUTHERN ISRAEL WHO WERE ASSAULTED BY TERRORIST MORTARS AND ROCKETS OVERNIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING. RED SIRENS SOUND FROM GAZAN BORDER TO ASHKELON.
Back in January and February, your humble servant blogged repeatedly about the dangers of the West throwing Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak under the bus. At that time, I declared that the so-called popular revolution in Egypt was an unmitigated disaster for Israel.
Now in the aftermath of the apparent rebel takeover in Libya this past week and the ongoing riots in Egypt against the Israeli embassy, it is time to repeat and expand what I wrote before: the Arab spring is an unmitigated disaster for Israel, an unmitigated disaster for Middle East peace, and an unmitigated victory for Islamists in the region.
Astonishingly, Western leaders just don’t seem to get it. Take a look at Libya. In the last week we have had Sarkozy, Cameron, and Obama all crowing about NATO’s heroic role in the ouster of the Qaddafi. Yet incredibly, who has the West been helping? Islamist rebels who have fought for Al-Qaida in places like Iraq and Afghanistan—against the very U.S. and NATO forces who are helping them now. The Western ‘disconnect’ is simply incredible.
So now Qaddafi is gone–soon to be replaced by a full blown Islamist regime with ties to terrorism everywhere. Intelligence sources have revealed in the last month alone there has been a wholesale transferral of weapons from Qaddafi’s armories to Hamas terrorists in Gaza and to Islamic terrorists throughout Africa.
This is the crux of the problem. In the headlong western rush to embrace the concept of democracy that seemed to be embodied in the Arab Spring, no thought was given to what would replace the autocrats who were deposed, and no one seemed to care. With the youthful hubristic naivete that often comes from a lack of experience, Western leaders seem to have assumed that the institutions of democracy would spring fully formed from overthrown despotism like Athena from the head of Zeus. What utter nonsense.
Let’s say what everyone knows but is afraid to say because it is politically incorrect. In the first place, the Koran is an autocratic document that discourages democracy at every turn. The Arab Spring is not going to bring a western-style democracy to any Arab country because in order to do so Islam itself would have to be reformed.
In the second place, democracy depends on having an educated populace, but the Arab populace is in large part composed of uneducated or poorly educated people who have never been taught to critically think. Most of the Arab world is simply not ready for nor particularly desirous of a democratic system which would demand that they question their traditional way of life.
Mubarak and Qaddafi (and we can add Assad and King Abdullah of Jordan) were paradoxes insofar as Israel is concerned. By suppressing Islamists in their countries, each of these rulers reached accommodations and understandings with Israel that allowed for a cold peace in the region.
Nevertheless, while they generally banned overt crowd-displays of anti-Israel sentiment in the streets of their countries, they encouraged hatred for Israel to be taught in schools and expressed in official media. Generations of children have been raised in this environment, and it is some of these children that have now grown older and taken to the streets.
Look at what has happened in Egypt in the last 48 hours. Mobs of young people–many of whom were leading the chants for ‘democracy’–have attacked and ransacked the Israeli Embassy. More than this, the Egyptian government is commandeering Israeli ships in the Red Sea, and the Egyptian military is about to embark on military games with Turkey. Whatever cold peace Egypt and Israel enjoyed now seems on brink of disintegrating.
The Arab Spring has summoned a bleak future indeed.