21 Iyar 5779
26 May 2019
Announcement of the Day:
As we pointed out in a recent blog, the terror groups in Gaza that are launching explosive balloons into southern Israel have become so brazen that they are now publishing announcements as to when they will launch. This notice that appeared yesterday declares that: “Thanks to God and all praise to him: 50 different incendiary models to be launched today at 5 pm.”
Isn’t it amazing that we know when they will launch, what they will launch, and even where they will launch–and we do absolutely nothing to stop them.
Meanwhile, southern Israel continues to burn with fires currently burning at Kibbutz Alumim, Sdot Negev, and other places.
By the way, do you remember how the only government response to the incessant barrages of explosive balloons has been to decrease the fishing range off of Gaza from 15 to 10 miles?
This morning Israel expanded the range to 15 miles again.
Unbelievable.
The News on the Israeli Street
The disaster of the fires . . .
On Friday, we reported on the disastrous fire at Mevo Modi’im in central Israel near the entrance to Modi’in. Other fires continue ravaging other parts of Israel from the area around the Kineret to down into the Jordan Valley.
To date, here is a summary of the fires between Wednesday and Saturday:
*1023 fires in open areas
*3,400 dunams of JNF land burned, 4,740 dunams of other land (a total of about 2,000 acres)
*40 houses burned at Mevo Modi’im, 10 houses burned at Kibbutz Harel
*9 aircraft from five countries (Egypt, Cyprus, Greece, Croatia and Italy) helping to fight the fires
Just think about these numbers for a moment.
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1023 fires.
Palestinian terror in Judea and Samaria . . .
In the last two hours there has been a shooting attack at Israeli motorists at Shavei Shomron. Fortunately, the Israelis in the car were unharmed; unfortunately, the terrorists escaped.
TODAY’S BLOG:
The Clock Is Ticking: Three Days To Go
Remember dear readers that the PM Netanyahu has a deadline of midnight May 29 (Wednesday) to form a government. If no coalition can be formed, we will have another election.
If we have another election, there is every reason to believe that the Israeli “right” will not fare as well as it did on April 9th–primarily because Netanyahu has angered many on the “right” (including many in his own Likud Party) in the last month with his pushing of an “Immunity Law” that will protect him from prosecution while he is in office–and perhaps even stop an indictment during the same period.
So what is the sticking point now?
As we have written before, this has all come down to a bitter battle between the two ultra-orthodox parties (Shas and United Torah Judaism) and the decidedly secular party headed by Avigdor Lieberman (Yisrael Beiteinu).
The battle is over the “draft” law which would set quotas for the number of ultra-orthodox yeshiva students who must serve in the IDF (or in national service), and put in place sanctions against yeshivas who do not provide a specific quota of enlistees.
A proposed law incorporating those points was written last year and passed its first reading in the Knesset in January. The reason the last government fell apart is that the ultra-orthodox refused to go along with its second and third readings–and so the proposed law stalled.
Lieberman is insisting that the proposed law that passed its first reading not be changed. As he has said in the last week, he will not agree that even “one comma” be changed.
On the other hand, Shas and United Torah Judaism insist on changes in the proposed law that will lower the quota for students being drafted into the IDF and that would remove sanctions.
Where does the Israeli public stand?
On this particular issue, the non-orthodox public stands with Lieberman. Most secular Israelis believe that the ultra-orthodox are getting a free ride because they receive government benefits galore but do not have to serve the country.
How will this all turn out?
If you remember, back in 2015, negotiations between Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett of the Jewish Home Party went down to the last minute. However, those negotiations were dragged out due to demands that Bennett was making as to his party receiving the Education and Justice Ministries.
This time, the problem is more fundamental, and it is difficult to see either side blinking–though as we have often said, one should never bet against Netanyahu being able to perform some semantic magic to make both sides happy.
But the clock is ticking.