What Would Trump Do If War Broke Out Between Iran and Israel?


12 Tishrei 5780

11 October 2019

 

 

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The News on the Israeli Street

Palestinian terror in the last 24 hours . . .

Palestinian terrorists threw Molotovs from the Halhul Bridge at Israelis.

Palestinian terrorists threw “rocks” at Israeli motorists at the Meir Spring near Neve Tzuf, Azzun, Beit Anun, and Kiryat Arba.

An interesting admission . . .

In a rare speech yesterday at the IDC in Herzliya, the head of Mossad revealed that Mossad has carried out assassinations of Hamas operatives “around the world.”

Yossi Cohen went on to say that in a marked change of policy, Hamas is no longer publicizing the deaths of its terrorists.

 

TODAY’S BLOG:

What Would Trump Do If War Broke Out

Between Iran and Israel?

We are the hollow men
We are the stuffed men . . .
Shape without form, shade without colour,
Paralysed force, gesture without motion

T.S. Eliot, The Hollow Men

After a day of Trumpian tweets and declarations such as:

“it is time for us to get out of these ridiculous Endless Wars, many of them tribal, and bring our soldiers home.”

and

“we have one of three options: send thousands of troops and win military, strike financially in Turkey with sanctions, or mediate a deal between Turkey and the Kurds.”

and

WE WILL ONLY FIGHT WHERE IT IS TO OUR BENEFIT

I think we all know the answer to what Trump would do.

Nothing militarily.

It seems abundantly clear at this point that when it comes to military action President Trump (to turn Theodore Roosevelt’s famous dictum around) talks loudly and carries a small stick.

On the one hand, he is all in for imposing economic sanctions to try to get his way, but on the other he shies away from military action now that he thinks the IS threat has been removed.

At heart, Trump is an isolationist.

He would no more forge a military attack against Iran in response to the recent Iranian attack on the Saudi oil fields than he did when Iran shot down an advanced U.S. drone over international airspace.

He might send troops to Saudi Arabia, but he wouldn’t use them.

Similarly, he might supply military armaments to the Ukraine, but far be it from Trump to get involved militarily with Russia.

He would authorize the U.S. Navy to sail the south China Sea, but he would never engage China militarily.

Not that all of this is bad.

No one wants to start a war with anyone, and your humble servant thinks it is way past time for America to be perceived as the world’s policeman. Trump is completely correct when he says that American soldiers should not be dying to try to stop tribal conflicts which will continue long after the last American soldier is gone.

But what has happened over the course of the Trump presidency is that he has gradually become the military “hollow man”–mostly bluster and little bite. He is excellent at making gestures but paralyzed when it comes to using military force (ever more so after the departure of James Mattis as Secretary of Defense and the “defeat” of Islamic State).

Iran, Russia, and China must be frothing at the mouth as America leaves the stage to them.

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