The OneIsrael Election Prediction


Yom Shnee

Monday

9 Nisan 5781

March 22, 2021

 

The Truth If Ever Spoken

“Benjamin Netanyahu is not right-wing, he is a pragmatic nationalist but not right-wing.”

Ayelet Shaked

Shaked’s statement comes on the heels of Netanyahu’s actions in the last few months during which he has actively solicited the votes of Israeli-Arabs who reject Israel as a Jewish state, proclaimed that Khan Al-Ahmar will not be evacuated unless Joe Biden gives his permission, and has extended the freeze on Jewish construction in Judea, Samaria, and Jerusalem.

Netanyahu is most assuredly not “right-wing.”

The News on the Israeli Street

Palestinian terror in the last 24 hours . . .

It always seems like Palestinian terror intensifies prior to Israeli elections and even on the day of the election, but this year it has so far just been terror as usual.

Palestinian terrorists using “rocks” and Molotovs attacked Israeli buses and motorists at the east Halhul Junction, busline 382 at Beit Anun, Beit Dajan, Tekoa, and at Luban A-Sharqiya and at another dozen locations.

Palestinian terrorists in Gaza launched dozens of explosive balloons into southern Israel.

The daily Corona (Covid-19) update . . .

Please note that these numbers encompass from 8 pm Sunday to 8 pm Monday:
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828,672 Israelis have been confirmed with the virus since the pandemic began last March.

There are 1,244 newly confirmed cases.

504 are in critical condition—a decrease of 57

215 of the most critically ill are on ventilators—an increase of 16

6,102 have died–an increase of 17

There are currently 15,229 active Corona cases.

5,181,774 Israelis have been vaccinated at least once; 4,570,063 have received both doses.

The positive test rate today was 1.5%.

TODAY’S BLOG:

The OneIsrael Election Prediction

Our election prediction is on the bottom line.

Our election predictions are the black numbers on the bottom line.

Insofar as polls versus actual voting goes, Yamina always polls higher than the votes it actually receives. We can assume that the same will happen with the New Hope Party of Gideon Sa’ar.

On the other hand, the Joint Arab List, UTJ, and Shas all seem to poll lower than what they eventually receive.

In this particular election, the drama will be at the bottom. It is entirely possible that none of the 4 parties (Religious Zionism, Kahol Lavan, Raam, and Meretz will receive the 3.25% of the vote necessary to garner the 4 seat minimum. If that should happen, then other parties will receive a “seat boost.”

By Wednesday morning, we should have a clear idea of who the next Knesset will be composed of. However, we probably will not have any clear idea about who will form the next government.

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