UPDATE: No terrorist activities reported overnight. Israeli embassies and consulates worldwide placed on highest security alert.
Your humble servant has previously given his view about a possible Israeli attack on Iran enumerating the reasons that he thinks it is ultimately doomed to failure. For a country that is unable to attack terrorist Hamas in Gaza to even think about attacking Iran seems the height of folly.
Having said that doesn’t change the fact that there seems to be a coalescing of facts that would appear to make an Israeli strike on Iran more likely. It is a coalescing not unlike that which occurred in late May and early June of 1967.
By June 5th 1967, Israel felt alone and surrounded. Egypt had massed 100,000 troops on the Sinai border along with 950 tanks and 1000 artillery pieces. Syria had positioned 75,000 more soldiers on its border with Israel. Jordan had put 55,000 troops on its border along with 300 tanks. The Jordanians also had 12 battalions of artillery. 100 more Iraqi tanks were on the Jordanian border. Intel revealed that orders had been given for all of these armies to attack Israel.
Today, on February 4, 2012, Israel finds itself alone and surrounded again.
Consider these four facts:
1. Earlier this week, the IDF revised its estimate upward of how many missiles are pointed at Israel from 100,000 to 200,000–waiting for launch from Iran and its proxies: Hamas in Gaza, Hezbollah in Lebanon, and Syria. Think about that for a moment–200,000 missiles. The international community has done nothing–and will do nothing to address this threat.
2. It is obvious that sanctions against Iran–such as they are– have failed to stop the Iranian nuclear program. Hardly a day goes by without another country declaring it will not apply the sanctions anyway. China, Japan, India, Turkey, South Korea, Russia–not to mention a whole host of European and South American countries have no interest in doing without Iranian oil. India and China have apparently agreed to circumvent banking sanctions by paying for Iranian oil with gold.
3. All the talk about centrifuges, enriched uranium, the Stuxnet virus, and assassinated Iranian nuclear scientists has become irrelevant. On Thursday, Israeli Military Intelligence Major General Aviv Kochavi stated that Iran’s nuclear program is complete. All of the elements are now in place to assemble 15 kiloton nuclear bomb by August of this year. Remember, all it takes is one nuclear bomb on Tel Aviv to wipe out a sizable portion of the Israeli population.
4. As Iran continues to strengthen its air defenses, harden its bunkers, and disperse its facilities, every Iranian leader from Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to Ali Khamenei is more strident than ever in declaring that Israel will soon be wiped off the map.
How would you react, dear reader, if facing this existential threat? Probably no different than Israel and Benjamin Netanyahu.
THIS DAY IN ISRAELI HISTORY
On February 4, 1969, Yasser Arafat was appointed PLO Chairman at the Palestinian National Congress in Cairo–thereby making official the Palestinians’ use of terror against Israel.